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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0143

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, March 06, 2026 03:34:26
    ACUS11 KWNS 060334
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 060334=20
    KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-060500-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0143
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0934 PM CST Thu Mar 05 2026

    Areas affected...portions of the eastern Texas Panhandle into
    northern Oklahoma and far southern Kansas

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 13...

    Valid 060334Z - 060500Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 13 continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across WW0013, with the
    primary threat for large hail and a tornado or two (perhaps strong).
    Two localized, short-term corridors of enhanced severe potential may
    accompany supercell thunderstorms currently tracking northeastward
    across portions of northern Oklahoma and the eastern Texas
    Panhandle.

    DISCUSSION...Regional VWP profiles depict strong low-level hodograph
    curvature, with over 300 m2/s2 0-500 m SRH, which will help support
    continued mesocyclone development and the potential for large hail
    and an isolated tornado or two with ongoing supercells across much
    of WW0013. The supercell thunderstorms currently tracking across
    portions of northern Oklahoma and the eastern Texas Panhandle are
    the primary concern for severe weather over the next 1-2 hours, with
    both supercells recently having confirmed tornadoes. In time, at
    least some decrease in severe potential is expected with the
    supercell in northern Oklahoma as it moves north/northeast and
    crosses the surface boundary into a more stable low-level air mass.
    MUCAPE values of 1500-2000 J/kg north of this boundary will allow
    the threat for large hail to persist for at least some time,
    however.

    ..Chalmers/Moore.. 03/06/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-ynlRsBKaQwVCVmJ4mWhDehgtEsrOuPBi8CVULPsv7-W3v6xeU6_0D5SAJ_kpt6PX53Hz3F-u= 45tYACPv7ZvGlx03CA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

    LAT...LON 36529768 36189797 35729841 35129919 34949947 34789992
    34760011 34760055 34860068 34970073 35290059 35660021
    35810006 36369936 36659903 37029852 37079826 37089812
    37089781 36969769 36759762 36529768=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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