• 3 Day Space Weather Forecast

    From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Sunday, February 01, 2026 00:19:00
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Feb 01 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 01-Feb 03 2026 is 1.67 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 01-Feb 03 2026

    Feb 01 Feb 02 Feb 03
    00-03UT 1.67 1.67 1.67
    03-06UT 1.67 1.33 1.33
    06-09UT 1.67 1.00 1.00
    09-12UT 1.33 1.00 1.00
    12-15UT 1.33 0.67 0.67
    15-18UT 1.33 1.33 1.33
    18-21UT 1.33 1.67 1.67
    21-00UT 1.33 1.67 1.67

    Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 01-Feb 03 2026

    Feb 01 Feb 02 Feb 03
    S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 01-Feb 03 2026

    Feb 01 Feb 02 Feb 03
    R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
    R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Wednesday, February 04, 2026 00:19:00
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Feb 04 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 04-Feb 06 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
    G1).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 04-Feb 06 2026

    Feb 04 Feb 05 Feb 06
    00-03UT 1.67 2.00 4.67 (G1)
    03-06UT 1.67 2.00 4.00
    06-09UT 1.33 1.67 3.67
    09-12UT 1.33 1.33 3.67
    12-15UT 1.33 1.33 3.67
    15-18UT 1.33 3.00 4.00
    18-21UT 1.33 4.33 4.00
    21-00UT 1.67 5.00 (G1) 4.00

    Rationale: G1 (Minor) storming is likely on 05-06 Feb due to the arrival
    of the CME associated with the 01/2357 UTC X8.1 flare from Region 4366.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 04-Feb 06 2026

    Feb 04 Feb 05 Feb 06
    S1 or greater 30% 30% 30%

    Rationale: The greater than 10 MeV proton flux has a chance to exceed S1 (Minor) levels over 04-06 Feb due to the high eruptive potential of
    Region 4366. The risk of a proton event will increase as the region
    moves into a more favorable magnetic connection point in the Suns
    western hemisphere.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    Radio blackouts reaching the R3 levels were observed over the past 24
    hours. The largest was at Feb 03 2026 1408 UTC.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 04-Feb 06 2026

    Feb 04 Feb 05 Feb 06
    R1-R2 80% 80% 80%
    R3 or greater 40% 40% 40%

    Rationale: Moderate to high solar activity is expected due to M-class
    flaring (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) for the next three days with a high
    chance for X-class flares (R3-Strong or greater) due to expected further activity from AR 4366.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Saturday, February 07, 2026 00:19:02
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Feb 07 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 07-Feb 09 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
    G1).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 07-Feb 09 2026

    Feb 07 Feb 08 Feb 09
    00-03UT 4.00 4.67 (G1) 3.33
    03-06UT 2.67 3.67 2.00
    06-09UT 1.67 3.33 2.00
    09-12UT 1.67 3.33 3.00
    12-15UT 2.33 2.00 3.00
    15-18UT 2.67 3.33 3.33
    18-21UT 3.33 3.33 3.67
    21-00UT 4.00 3.67 3.67

    Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 08 Feb due to the anticipated arrival of the CME associated with the 03 Feb filament
    eruption, coupled with a new negative polarity CH HSS.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 07-Feb 09 2026

    Feb 07 Feb 08 Feb 09
    S1 or greater 25% 25% 25%

    Rationale: There is a chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms on
    07-09 Feb due to the magnetic complexity and dynamic of the active
    regions on the visible disk.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 07-Feb 09 2026

    Feb 07 Feb 08 Feb 09
    R1-R2 80% 80% 80%
    R3 or greater 35% 35% 35%

    Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a
    chance for R3 (Strong) or greater levels on 07-09 Feb due to the
    magnetic complexity and dynamic of the active regions on the visible
    disk.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Tuesday, February 10, 2026 00:19:00
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Feb 10 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 10-Feb 12 2026 is 2.67 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 10-Feb 12 2026

    Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12
    00-03UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
    03-06UT 2.67 1.67 2.00
    06-09UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
    09-12UT 1.67 1.00 1.33
    12-15UT 1.67 1.33 0.67
    15-18UT 0.67 1.33 1.00
    18-21UT 1.67 1.00 1.67
    21-00UT 2.00 1.67 1.67

    Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected over
    10-12 Feb.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 10-Feb 12 2026

    Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12
    S1 or greater 25% 25% 25%

    Rationale: There is a chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation
    storms on 10-12 Feb due to the flare potential and location of Region
    4366.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
    hours. The largest was at Feb 09 2026 0227 UTC.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 10-Feb 12 2026

    Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12
    R1-R2 65% 65% 65%
    R3 or greater 25% 25% 25%

    Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
    chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, on 10-12 Feb.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Friday, February 13, 2026 00:19:00
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Feb 13 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 13-Feb 15 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
    G1).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 13-Feb 15 2026

    Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15
    00-03UT 1.67 3.00 3.67
    03-06UT 1.33 2.67 2.67
    06-09UT 1.33 2.00 2.67
    09-12UT 1.33 2.67 2.33
    12-15UT 1.33 2.00 2.33
    15-18UT 1.33 2.67 2.33
    18-21UT 1.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)
    21-00UT 1.67 3.00 5.00 (G1)

    Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 15 Feb due to
    combined potential from a recurrent coronal hole and a passing coronal
    mass ejection.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 13-Feb 15 2026

    Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15
    S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
    hours. The largest was at Feb 12 2026 0240 UTC.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 13-Feb 15 2026

    Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15
    R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
    R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor) radio
    blackouts over 13-15 Feb due to the flare potential of multiple active
    regions on the Suns visible disk.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Monday, February 16, 2026 00:19:00
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Feb 16 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
    G1).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 16-Feb 18 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
    G1).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 16-Feb 18 2026

    Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18
    00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67
    03-06UT 4.33 3.67 2.67
    06-09UT 3.67 2.67 2.67
    09-12UT 3.33 2.67 2.00
    12-15UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
    15-18UT 2.67 1.67 0.67
    18-21UT 2.67 1.67 2.33
    21-00UT 3.33 2.67 3.00

    Rationale: Isolated periods of G1 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storming
    are likely on 16 Feb due to positive polarity CH HSS influences with
    potential weak CME enhancements as a CME from 13 Feb might pass in close proximity.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 16-Feb 18 2026

    Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18
    S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 16-Feb 18 2026

    Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18
    R1-R2 5% 5% 5%
    R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Thursday, February 19, 2026 00:19:02
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Feb 19 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 19-Feb 21 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 19-Feb 21 2026

    Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb 21
    00-03UT 3.33 3.00 2.33
    03-06UT 3.67 3.00 1.67
    06-09UT 2.00 2.33 1.33
    09-12UT 2.33 1.33 0.67
    12-15UT 2.33 1.33 1.00
    15-18UT 2.00 1.67 0.67
    18-21UT 3.00 2.00 1.33
    21-00UT 3.67 3.00 2.00

    Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 19-Feb 21 2026

    Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb 21
    S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 19-Feb 21 2026

    Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb 21
    R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
    R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be at low levels, with a slight
    chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares through 21 Feb.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Sunday, February 22, 2026 00:19:02
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Feb 22 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 22-Feb 24 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
    G1).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 22-Feb 24 2026

    Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb 24
    00-03UT 2.67 3.67 3.67
    03-06UT 3.67 4.67 (G1) 3.67
    06-09UT 2.67 3.67 2.67
    09-12UT 1.67 3.67 2.67
    12-15UT 2.67 2.67 2.00
    15-18UT 2.67 2.67 1.67
    18-21UT 3.67 2.67 1.67
    21-00UT 3.67 3.67 2.67

    Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 23 Feb due to
    effects from an anticipated coronal hole HSS.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 22-Feb 24 2026

    Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb 24
    S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 22-Feb 24 2026

    Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb 24
    R1-R2 5% 10% 10%
    R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 23-24 Feb.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Wednesday, February 25, 2026 00:19:02
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Feb 25 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 25-Feb 27 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 25-Feb 27 2026

    Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb 27
    00-03UT 3.67 3.00 2.67
    03-06UT 3.67 3.67 2.67
    06-09UT 3.33 2.67 2.33
    09-12UT 3.00 2.33 2.33
    12-15UT 3.00 2.00 2.00
    15-18UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
    18-21UT 2.67 2.33 2.33
    21-00UT 3.67 3.00 2.67

    Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 25-Feb 27 2026

    Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb 27
    S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 25-Feb 27 2026

    Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb 27
    R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
    R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
    blackouts through 27 Feb.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Saturday, February 28, 2026 00:19:00
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Feb 28 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

    Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
    00-03UT 3.00 3.33 3.33
    03-06UT 2.67 4.33 3.67
    06-09UT 1.67 4.00 3.00
    09-12UT 1.67 3.00 2.67
    12-15UT 1.33 2.67 3.00
    15-18UT 1.00 2.67 3.00
    18-21UT 2.67 3.00 3.33
    21-00UT 3.33 3.00 3.00

    Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

    Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
    S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

    Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
    R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
    R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
    blackouts over 28 Feb - 02 Mar.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Tuesday, March 03, 2026 00:19:00
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Mar 03 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

    Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
    00-03UT 2.00 3.67 2.67
    03-06UT 1.67 3.33 2.67
    06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
    09-12UT 1.33 2.00 1.67
    12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
    15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
    18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67
    21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33

    Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected
    through 05 Mar.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

    Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
    S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

    Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
    R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
    R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
    with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 05 Mar.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Friday, March 06, 2026 00:19:00
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Mar 06 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
    G1).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

    Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
    00-03UT 2.00 3.67 4.00
    03-06UT 2.33 3.33 2.00
    06-09UT 3.33 2.00 2.00
    09-12UT 3.33 1.67 2.00
    12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.67
    15-18UT 4.00 3.33 2.67
    18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67
    21-00UT 4.33 3.33 3.00

    Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
    due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR associated with a negative
    polarity coronal hole high speed stream.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

    Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
    S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

    Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
    R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
    R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
    blackouts through 08 Mar.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)